Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 3.446271 4.038333 4.719935 5.566866 6.596799 7.815965 9.379205
2025-01-19 2.503399 3.224198 4.152250 5.451949 7.252731 9.701108 13.354196
2025-01-26 2.158761 2.964748 4.085748 5.794967 8.400749 12.335728 18.951647
2025-02-02 1.900494 2.744337 3.991768 6.028952 9.390255 14.939294 25.298760
2025-02-09 1.716659 2.586768 3.942041 6.292116 10.452685 17.902587 33.246597
2025-02-16 1.543405 2.410671 3.822823 6.401562 11.258362 20.612233 41.702165
2025-02-23 1.411071 2.276483 3.743610 6.553593 12.161639 23.740272 52.263962
2025-03-02 1.268472 2.102626 3.565632 6.484058 12.608065 26.050648 61.919338
2025-03-09 1.171926 1.994487 3.485954 6.583454 13.418744 29.390268 75.711934
2025-03-16 1.068546 1.859953 3.336509 6.512153 13.836831 31.934053 88.571078
2025-03-23 0.983520 1.748559 3.214946 6.475639 14.324364 34.805119 103.969020
2025-03-30 0.900354 1.630783 3.064626 6.349201 14.565561 37.103663 118.815760
2025-04-06 0.836770 1.555285 3.013459 6.496730 15.701842 42.848722 152.220035
2025-04-13 0.752792 1.430897 2.847583 6.359159 16.105953 46.810074 183.360638
2025-04-20 0.721961 1.410437 2.901108 6.770144 18.196543 57.387282 256.177904
2025-04-27 0.684602 1.370366 2.903278 7.050926 20.018040 68.187530 345.839464
2025-05-04 0.652878 1.337811 2.916886 7.367130 22.091075 81.405207 472.547028
2025-05-11 0.613859 1.283417 2.868806 7.498759 23.605676 93.426132 615.716117
2025-05-18 0.581362 1.239666 2.839926 7.681719 25.399511 108.213416 816.678236
2025-05-25 0.539801 1.169293 2.732113 7.598020 26.157169 118.530075 1005.745145
2025-06-01 0.511207 1.126660 2.690589 7.717672 27.807105 135.264594 1319.154720
2025-06-08 0.477151 1.066573 2.593249 7.631835 28.569294 147.653395 1628.401902
2025-06-15 0.447946 1.015350 2.513061 7.587888 29.522541 162.374863 2040.039592